petestarkcore - american politics done good

petestarkcore - american politics done good

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petestarkcore - american politics done good
petestarkcore - american politics done good
Poll Watching (Week 3)

Poll Watching (Week 3)

Discarding Polls, Not Even Once

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petestarkcore
Nov 05, 2023
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petestarkcore - american politics done good
petestarkcore - american politics done good
Poll Watching (Week 3)
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Welcome Back

Welcome back to week 3 of Poll Watching, your weekly rundown of a handful of polls which explain the state of play across American political and cultural life. This is an exclusive for my paid subscribers, but free subscribers should feel assured that there will still be at least one weekly article available for absolutely free from this publication, and this series is to justify a paid subscription option so I can keep the lights on!

Kentucky governor defends photo posing with drag queens | Fox News
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear (D) Meeting with Drag Queens at the State Capitol in 2020.

Today’s instalment will look at the upcoming gubernatorial election in the Bluegrass State, bad signs for Democrats in swing states and everything in-between. Sit down, get comfortable and let’s read about the state of play as of November 2023.


Upset in the Bluegrass State?

Emerson College Poll of Kentucky’s gubernatorial race showing Republican Daniel Cameron one point ahead of incumbent Governor Beshear.

To casual observers, this recent Emerson College poll of Kentucky may seem like great news for Democrats, but it is actually an incredibly alarming poll for Democrats - and a big outlier from what other pollsters have been saying. Throughout the 2023 election cycle, incumbent Governor Beshear has held a not insignificant lead over his Republican challenger, and Cameron hasn’t even seen a lead in any of his internal polls until this poll released by Emerson. The question to be asked is, are Emerson on the money or is this just an outlier?

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